Prediksi Dollar AS untuk 1-7 Februari ... - Trading Forex Emas

Live FOMC Forex Trading | EURUSD

Live FOMC Forex Trading | EURUSD submitted by familymod to forexmarketviews [link] [comments]

#shorts #binomo #forex #binance #gateio #btc #kriptopara #coin #shibainu #trader #trading

#shorts #binomo #forex #binance #gateio #btc #kriptopara #coin #shibainu #trader #trading submitted by crytoloover to coinmarketbag [link] [comments]

FOMC News Trading - New York Session Live Forex Trading & Analysis - ...

FOMC News Trading - New York Session Live Forex Trading & Analysis - ... submitted by AshrafNoor to u/AshrafNoor [link] [comments]

FOMC Trading - London Morning Session Live Forex Trading & Analysis - ...

FOMC Trading - London Morning Session Live Forex Trading & Analysis - ... submitted by AshrafNoor to u/AshrafNoor [link] [comments]

200 Pips, FOMC Live Forex Trading & Intraday Analysis EURUSD, GBPUSD &...

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Forex hoy - Sesión asiática: El dólar está bajo presión antes de las Minutas de la reunión del FOMC

Lo que hay que tener en cuenta el miércoles 23 de noviembre:
El dólar retrocedió el martes ante el mejor comportamiento de las acciones mundiales y el debilitamiento de los rendimientos del Tesoro estadounidense. Sin embargo, la actividad fue limitada a la espera de las Minutas de la reunión del FOMC y de los pedidos de bienes duraderos de EE.UU. que se publicarán el miércoles.
Los índices asiáticos y europeos cerraron al alza, mientras que Wall Street registró importantes ganancias, siendo la que más sumó en las últimas horas de negociación. Por otra parte, los rendimientos del Tesoro de EE.UU. bajaron, con el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 10 años bajando 7 puntos básicos para situarse en torno al 3.75%, y el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 2 años ofreciendo un 4.51% bajando modestamente en el día.
Diferentes funcionarios del Banco Central Europeo estuvieron en el aire, la mayoría de ellos preparando el camino para otra subida de tasas de 75 puntos básicos en la reunión de diciembre, pero el euro mostró poca reacción a las noticias. Robert Holzmann, director del Banco Nacional de Australia, se mostró partidario de una tercera subida de tipos agresiva y consecutiva. La medida elevaría la tasa de depósito al 2.25%. Asimismo, el responsable finlandés del BCE, Olli Rehn, afirmó que el BCE seguirá subiendo los tipos de interés, y que el ritmo de sus subidas vendrá determinado por la tasa de inflación y la situación económica general.
Los representantes de la Reserva Federal también tuvieron algo que decir. La presidenta de la Reserva Federal de Cleveland , Loretta Mester, señaló que las expectativas de inflación a largo plazo están razonablemente ancladas, aunque el crecimiento de los salarios está por debajo de la inflación en la mayoría de los sectores. Por último, añadió que la demanda de mano de obra supera a la oferta de trabajadores.
Al final del día, la atención del mercado se centró en la crisis energética europea, ya que el G7 y la UE están discutiendo de nuevo un límite a los precios del petróleo ruso.
El EUUSD recuperó algo de terreno, pero no pudo recuperar el 1.0300, manteniéndose cerca al final de la sesión estadounidense.
A primera hora del día, se habló en los mercados de que el ministro de Finanzas del Reino Unido, Jeremy Hunt, está presionando en privado para que Gran Bretaña tenga unos lazos más estrechos con la Unión Europea, lo que de alguna manera genera tensiones en el gobierno del nuevo primer ministro británico, Rishi Sunak. El GBP/USD se estableció en torno a 1,1880 en medio de la debilidad del dólar en general.
El USD/CAD bajó a 1.3385 tras una serie de datos canadienses mixtos. Las Ventas Minoristas disminuyeron menos de lo previsto, mientras que el Índice de Precios de la Vivienda Nueva de octubre descendió en octubre. Además, el vicegobernador principal del Banco de Canadá, Rogers, se refirió a la subida de los tipos de interés, que está empezando a frenar la economía y a contener la inflación. El AUD/USD cotiza en torno a 0.6640, con una ligera subida en el día, mientras que el USD/JPY ronda el nivel 141.20.
El oro recortó sus ganancias iniciales y terminó el día con pocos cambios, en torno a los 1.738$ la onza troy. Los precios del petróleo crudo subieron, con el WTI cotizando a 82$ el barril.
Durante las horas de negociación en Asia, los inversores estarán pendientes de laReserva del Banco de Nueva Zelanda decisión de política monetaria.
La atención se centra ahora en las actas de la reunión del FOMC. La Reserva Federal de EE.UU. subió las tasas en 75 puntos básicos por quinta vez consecutiva a principios de mes, y los agentes del mercado esperaban una pista sobre el pivote. El documento publicado junto a la reunión podría entenderse como una posible flexibilización del ritmo de endurecimiento cuantitativo, aunque las palabras del jefe Jerome Powell sorprendieron por su tono de halcón. Las Minutas de la reunión del FOMC pueden arrojar algo de luz sobre lo que pueda hacer la Fed en diciembre, y los agentes del mercado probablemente se apresurarán a ponerle precio.
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FOMC - Live Forex Trading & Intraday Analysis - Banked Amazing Pips :-)

FOMC - Live Forex Trading & Intraday Analysis - Banked Amazing Pips :-) submitted by AshrafNoor to u/AshrafNoor [link] [comments]

20210317 TRO TRADING FOMC #TheRumpledOne​ #MT4​ #forex​ #trading​ #drainthebanks​ #orderblocks​ #advancedalientrading​ #TRO

20210317 TRO TRADING FOMC #TheRumpledOne​ #MT4​ #forex​ #trading​ #drainthebanks​ #orderblocks​ #advancedalientrading​ #TRO submitted by TheRumpledOne to u/TheRumpledOne [link] [comments]

Why I don't trade during FOMC, CPI, or other huge economic events

Why I don't trade during FOMC, CPI, or other huge economic events
Below is the picture of an "orderbook" on the ES (S&P 500 futures). At each price level, you have buyers and sellers lined up with their orders in the market. Using the picture below, for price to move from 4074.75 to 4075.75, buyers must buy 11 contracts, then 81, then 87, and then 111. Of course orders can be placed or pulled out, making it a dynamic situation, but that's the general idea.
Whenever a major economic announcement is set, like CPI or Fed Funds Rate, traders will pull these orders out. You will see an orderbook with like 5-10 instead of 50-200! What does this mean? That a single buy of 5 contracts can move the market an entire tick. With a few of these orders, we could see multi-point moves.
So onto why I won't trade it:
When this dynamic is set up - meaning when orders are pulled from the market - the price action is the most volatile. Algos and bots (market maker liquidity) make up the majority of these little orders, thought plenty of traders still try to get involved. The bots/algos essentially are providing liquidity for whatever people are trading in the market. These moves are notoriously jumpy and difficult to trade. Because of this volatility, the likelihood of my stop getting hit is just as high as the likelihood of my target hitting, and this doesn't give me an edge.
Another anomaly in these big, event-driven moves is that despite a thinned-out orderbook, volume often spikes. This is a result of so many orders being filled across so many different levels. It doesn't mean big players are entering the market for positioning, it means algos are reacting to signals across many price levels.
Just prior to the announcement, I will follow up with a screenshot of the thinned-out orderbook.
https://preview.redd.it/bnjc4ht0hw5a1.png?width=335&format=png&auto=webp&s=c4dd5394f115f4690d0ba1c63b9fb04604b2262f
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Y2Mate is 5 LACK LIVE TRADING Binomo I Price action premium course I ...

https://binomo.com?a=a9884b350d8a
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Gambled away my Roth IRA. Bearish CPI, bullish CPI day trade, bullish FOMC YOLO were the last 3 nails in the coffin ⚰️

Gambled away my Roth IRA. Bearish CPI, bullish CPI day trade, bullish FOMC YOLO were the last 3 nails in the coffin ⚰️ submitted by snipe320 to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

Trading SPY and FOMC Meeting

Trading SPY and FOMC Meeting
Hey guys, this is another big week for the future of the market so I wanted to break down the action and where I think things are headed. A few weeks back, I mentioned the bounce was coming here https://www.reddit.com/wallstreetbets/comments/xwd4zs/trading_spy_next_9_days/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3 and here https://www.reddit.com/wallstreetbets/comments/y6fd2y/trading_spy_week_of_oct_17th/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3.
Lets review the chart:
https://preview.redd.it/simrw4hgs6x91.png?width=1621&format=png&auto=webp&s=b99051cb337956bd26751615fd147f7829826e08
A few points to note, the "oversold we are too bearish" sentiment has faded. Notice the RSI.
Equities are basically priced in the same place as two rate hikes ago. Has macro improved? No. Have earnings improved? No.
What did POW say he was going to do? Cause pain. Has there been pain yet? No. Is unemployment higher? No.
What about inflation, is it subsiding? No. Remember the CPI report? It was awful. Sure PCE wasn't as hot, but it wasn't cool enough.
Is the FED data dependent? Yes. Is there data based on historical data with lag? Yes. Has that historical data improved? No, not really.
What about midterms? Yes it feels like there was a midterm pump with the dems trying to keep power by keeping gas prices low and stock prices high. Is that what POW wants? No, it isn't. Is there some pump left in the tank? Maybe, but the pumpers will be fine dumping if they get underwater.
Will POW bend at the knee to the politicians? I don't think so. He was able to stand Trump's tirades, he can certainly stand Biden, Elizabeth Warren and Pelosi. Yes, he ultimately pivoted in 2018, but this is NOT 2018. The guy isn't worried about job security, he wants to be "the man" to solve this problem.
Have earnings improved? No, not in the slightest. Have the real reductions in earnings, or forward looking earnings come down? No, not in a significant way.
Did Apple have a great quarter? Not really, it was basically as expected, and yet it had the best day in years up 7% - just for being not as bad as its peers (FAANG). Apple can't save the market single handedly.
Did the mega cap tech stocks shit the bed? Yes they did. Did the market go down? No it didn't.
Is the DOW going to lead us out of a recession? No. KO and the boomer companies don't have the market cap or retail/institutional interest to lift the entire market.
Why did we rally? Historic put buying was "closed" and historic "bearishness" was closed for a profit. Notice the ridiculous shape of the up moves in stocks and in SPY - those are MARKET orders, not normal accumulation. Those are people closing shorts or traders - not investors accumulating long term positions. Paper hands in means paper hands out.
340 is the pre-covid high, expect a big bounce there as many people will close their shorts and close their puts at that level, triggering the next bear market rally.
For some reason, the likely hood of a .50 hike (instead of .75) has increased. This sets us up more for disappointment to the downside as opposed to a surprise to the upside. Keep in mind, even if POW does .50 the only reason he would do that is because the FED predicts the economy to be significantly damaged and that the impending recession will be significant enough to reign in inflation. Meaning - shit is so bad out there that we only need .50. It is counter intuitive but no mater how you slice it, the future of the markets and the economy look bleak.
Counter point: if POW is dovish at all, or only does .50 then the market will moon. There is no other counterpoint or no other macro that will drive the next up move other than the position of the FED.
How to Trade It:
  • With the VIX "relatively low" compared to the past month of action, it is acceptable to buy puts here. Volatility and pricing is finally on the side of going long on puts.
  • I see spy quite easily testing the 348 low it established earlier this month. It's going to happen faster than expected, just as fast as this recent Bear Market Rally.
  • Buy puts now, probably the 330P expiring late November. Hold those puts until the low is tested around 350.
  • Before the FOMC press conference, VIX will likely spike up regardless of where the market moves. Sell the 360/370 call spread expiring late November.
  • Once the market declines to roughly the 350 level on spy, and VIX is > 35, sell the 340P creating a bull put spread.
  • The combination of your sold calls (get them tomorrow pre FOMC) and the newly created put credit spread will lock in your gains and give you a "free" shot at max gain assuming SPY stays between 340 and 360 in late November.
What other macro trends do you think I missed?
PS. if you don't want to short the market, short TSLA. Its the most obvious play out there. Elon will get cancelled soon and TSLA growth is dying.
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How to Trade FOMC Day for Regards

Are you scared of trading FOMC day? Do you wish you were rich? Does your wife's boyfriend have a cleaner Honda than yours? Well, you're in luck! Today I'm going to show you the way to win on FOMC day.
About the author:
Highschool dropout, Wendy's shift leader, wears suits while day trading.
Foolish assumptions:
  1. You know that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has 8 meetings per year where they issue a summary of their economic outlook and policy decisions.
  2. FOMC Minutes are a release of the more granular details of prior meetings and are just as volatile as Meetings.
  3. You're interested in trading FOMC day rather than betting on it.
How to get rich:
We've all been taught since we were kids to close your trades by 1:59pm on FOMC day. Why? Because volatility can make or break your account just as quickly as gambling can, and many see FOMC day as gambling. But it doesn't have to be that way.
Looking at all FOMC meetings and minutes in 2022 will reveal that the first direction the market moves in is wrong 70% of the time. And the first direction being right only happened twice, or 14%.
1/26
33 point pop followed by a 140 point drop
2/16 (minutes)
First direction was right, 47 point pop
3/16
58 point pop, 90 drop
4/6 (minutes)
25 pop, 35 drop
5/4
40 point drop, 143 pop
5/25 (minutes)
20 point pop, 30 point drop, then the right move ran 50 points
6/15
46 point drop, 101 point pop
7/6 (minutes)
10 point drop, 44 point pop
7/27
12 point pop, 12 point drop, 70 point pop
8/17 (minutes)
28 point pop, 29 drop
9/21
63 point drop, 73 pop, 94 drop
10/12 (minutes)
No action
11/2
42 point pop, 128 drop
11/23 (minutes)
No action
Did You Know?
On average, it takes 25 minutes for the market to start moving in the right direction. Throughout this year most started between 15-35 minutes.
So, now we know it's best to sit out until the market chooses the right direction and we know how long that normally takes. Next, we need to recognize that the market tells us in advance what kind of FOMC day is most likely.
The market moves in two ways between 1 and 2pm on FOMC day. It either crawls along in a tight range or it doesn't. Tight ranges are good because it means that price action will likely be clean and easily analyzed. If the run up to 2pm is a choppy mess or a roller coaster than price action after 2pm will likely be the same. So, if you're not an experienced price action trader than it might be best to stick to the easier range days.
Now that we've discussed entries, let's move on to exits. As we all know, exits are where the money is made. Bailing too soon or too late are equally costly. Even more costly is using indicators for clues on FOMC days due to the volatility. And waiting for high/low or support/resistance levels to be broken (or even worse, trendlines or moving averages) will leave too much on the table. A better way is to mark pivot points on your candles (high + low + close / 3). Any close beyond a pivot level shows a high chance of a reversal. This is especially helpful on parabolic candles where risk is the greatest. Sometimes these pivot breaches are just short-term pullbacks, in which case you can consider jumping back in when a pivot breach is again in your favor. If pivot points are too crayon-y for you, you can also just look at a lower timeframe chart for your exits.
Did You Know?
Some people think the day after FOMC day will be the reverse direction of the right FOMC direction? This isn't true. But, there's a 52% chance the next day will be a trend day, for what that's worth.
Summary:
You’re rich. Fuck you and congratulations.
Tl;dr:
Don't trade between 1 and 2:15pm
Only trade if price runs in a tight range from 1-2pm
Sit out the first move, wait up to a half hour for the real move to start
Bail once price closes beyond a candle pivot
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Live Forex Trading & Chart Analysis "FOMC & YCC" NY Session June 10, 2020

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Y2Mate is 5 LACK LIVE TRADING Binomo I Price action premium course I ...

Y2Mate is 5 LACK LIVE TRADING Binomo I Price action premium course I ... submitted by binomotraders to u/binomotraders [link] [comments]

Today is the Day - FOMC - Be Very Careful Trading!

Today is the Day - FOMC - Be Very Careful Trading!
Today is the day. The US government's FOMC meeting will decide on interest rates and comment on the state of inflation.
What to expect? Markets will be volatile today. If the Fed announces a 75bp (or lower) hike, expect markets to move to the upside. If its higher than 75bp, they will likely dump, though potentially dump into a bart pattern and rally later.
Also look for comments from Chair J Powell, who I suspect will make some very pointed comments on the state of inflation, whether he thinks its peaking, and will reiterate how committed the Fed is in bringing inflation down. Semantics matter here and industry listens careful to every word he says.
I don't recommend new traders take up any trades today. If you do trade, use stoplosses and limit your timeframe because the probability is that today will see volatile price action swinging both ways.
If you can, I also recommend catching a live stream of it somewhere.
Fed Chair JPOW
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FOMC trade plan results and gainers!

FOMC trade plan results and gainers!
I had a real nice plan going into FOMC... unfortunately like any of these days FOMC is a wild card and a beast with a mind of its own... Despite how detailed of a plan i had... if i didnt play what was in front of me i woulda got wrecked today.
https://preview.redd.it/sis17wbv9x5a1.png?width=717&format=png&auto=webp&s=594742e0ee610f7f71db1f35b0bf04f9024d087c
due to premium prices i ended up not taking calls over night... however, had you followed them you would gotten about a 30-50% gain before FOMC at 2pm.
with the massive pop at 130 and run into 2pm i sat cash and didnt play that move... its also one of the least gainers of FOMC
since we never got a 2pm spike i didnt play 2pm puts but i did play puts two times during JPOW presser when we back tested and rejected 399....
https://preview.redd.it/nmu3vjd9ax5a1.png?width=377&format=png&auto=webp&s=d3ccb810b6ca661eec7058f50ab5836e7b8fa6e4
https://preview.redd.it/yzas71f8ax5a1.png?width=455&format=png&auto=webp&s=92ba9d3f8cbf49dbca1f49f0d93383e7ff99bad2
also played the 399 breakout for a huge win too
https://preview.redd.it/1obxp9saax5a1.png?width=388&format=png&auto=webp&s=267d16c375a62c26d89617dd8f586044e28fa006
99% of people hoenstly shouldnt touch FOMC, CPI or most other highly volatility days... every one of these plays was entered knowing that it was zero or hero... i also took profits hella early on all of them... These days are hella fluid and no matter how detailed of a plan there is or how historically well a specific play pays... there is nothing guaranteed in this market...
The biggest slap in the face... is the fact that the technicals play 10000x better on a day like today then it has the last 4 or 5 trading days...
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Belajar Trading Binomo Dari Nol - Info Aktual

Belajar Trading Binomo Dari Nol - Info Aktual submitted by Calm-Argument to News_Bugs [link] [comments]

11/29/2022 Daily Plays, China stocks on fire, I may trade bear China YANG , I will be patient I did bid on 2 puts as the stocks did fly, 2 weeks away from FOMC and CPI . The market is grabbing at straws to rally, So when Fed members speak, the market comes off, careful!

Good morning everyone. I did bid on 2 puts yesterday and no fills. It is hard to trade in this because the market has been grabbing at straws for 3 weeks! When the month started we were near 52 week lows on the SP500 and Nasdaq. I was making as much as 5 trades a day.. We get a 7.7 CPI and then we take fire.. The Nasdaq went up 10% in 2 days. At the start of the month I was up on half my puts daily and didn’t take profits. I was trying to get 25% and I have changed my strategy about a week and a half ago but havent made to many trades. Last week I did 1 round of KOLD. KOLD dropped near 10! If I am up 20% or more week 1 on an option, I will take it, after 7 calendar days I will look for 10-20%.. After 30 calendar days I will reset and take 5-10%. My puts usually have 2-3 months time, but I have decided I rather reset and buy more time again than try and get 25%. On December 16th I may have 3 puts expire because I was greedy, TOST ENPH and CMG. I was up at least 10% a few times on them all, so we have to see what is going on and adjust. I do expect the market should correct by December 14th FOMC meeting but I do not control the market…
The market came off yesterday as 2 Fed speakers were talking about rates and inflation. None of them have said they would have off rate hikes… 0! Ever since the 7.7, FOMO people have tried to say the fed will hike 1 more time, pivot, etc… What a joke. Have have called for a Santa Claus Rally since the CPI.. 7.7 is horrible! The fed said yesterday they were hoping to see CPI around 5 handle by years end, that isn’t happening, and end of next year 3 handle, that wont happen unless we go much higher. On March 18th of 2022 I wrote that we need a 5% hike and immediately to tame inflation, and we are coming!
3/18
https://www.reddit.com/UltimateTraders/comments/tgzxac/3182022_daily_plays_i_cant_control_the_market_the/
That said there is pent up demand to rally. At least this tells me when the data is higher we will rip higher! It is not all doom and gloom, we will come out of this for sure, we will rip higher, just not now.. At best I see April as the time data may start to turn. And not earlier… 1st quarter earnings come out 3rd week of April, there may be sand baggers, rate hikes may be done, maybe the War in Ukraine is done, maybe China Covid 0 is done… Until then trading in this? At your own risk! Most money is made when we crash lower and we buy of the lows and sell at a rally. We arent going to time the perfect low, but I will use data like I did in 2009 and 2020 to tell me when to get it.
China is rallying. I did trade YANG , bear China earlier in the year. It is down 15% let us see. Same thing, if I get puts I want 2 a day as much as 5 this week and 5 next week as we roll into FOMC and CPI…The Fed will not pause, and will not pivot! In my eyes we have a 50/50 chance of a .75 hike December 14th if the CPI comes in at 7.5 or above, if we come in at 6.5 or above we will get a .5.. What are the chances we come in at 6.5 or below? DUH! So the Fed will front load.
I will wait patiently.
5 Trade ideas:
ENPH – I was bidding on February 270 strike puts let us see
YANG – Bear China ETF, Chinese stocks are on fire, this I believe is not sustainable
SAVA – I was trying different 30 strike puts and will try again
NTNX – Valuation is crazy high earnings tomorrow
WDAY – Earnings today for this cloud HR software, maybe if it rallies
The contents of this post are for information and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. ... By choosing to make a trade you are responsible for your own actions. Please do some due diligence. These are trades I am making and you can follow along. If you make a winning trade, I do not even expect a bravo or thanks but that’s fine, if you lose on a trade the same difference.. I do not even expect an upvote or reward… The Elite team is aware of the risks and volatility in the market.
Good luck everyone let’s make money. Share trades, ideas here during trading hours. Our main goal here is to make money so I hope we can help eachother. I will be in and out of here as well.
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Is the FOMC Becoming More Dovish? - Orbex Forex Trading Blog

Is the FOMC Becoming More Dovish? - Orbex Forex Trading Blog submitted by OrbexFX to u/OrbexFX [link] [comments]

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement--December 12, 2012 - How are you trading it?

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My FOMC Trading Rules for Day Trading Forex, Futures, & Stocks | Algos

My FOMC Trading Rules for Day Trading Forex, Futures, & Stocks | Algos submitted by VinnyEmini to u/VinnyEmini [link] [comments]

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